Tag Archives: Infection Rates

The Good News is that you probably already were infected by COVID-19

by Br. Alexis Bugnolo

The title of this article might seem a bizarre joke, but it is not. The truth is that COVID-19, if it is anything at all, is not a deadly plague, it is just another winter flu, which is only risky for persons who are already in very bad states of health. And because of this, many catch it but show no symptoms, because their natural immune system zaps it on contact or after a few days of slight symptoms.

Statisticians on the basis of the high rate of infectibility by the Wuhan Virus have already speculated that the number of those infected is astronomically already high.

On March 26, 2020, for example, the Guardian was reporting that a study out of Oxford was estimating that 50% of everyone in the United Kingdom had already been infected and has the antibodies.  This natural process of acquiring immunity for the majority of the population is called herd immunity — rather vulgarly — from the analogy to how herds of livestock acquire immunity against disease, namely, by rapidly infecting every other member of herd.

While the report by the Guardian tried to discount such a study, they admitted that levels of immunity in the U.K. population might presently be (on March. 26) 20 times higher than the number of cases reported, simply because for every one person who is sick enough to get tested, there are 20 who never get so sick and thus never get tested.

Herd immunity though, is a fast changing reality. Once 10% of the population acquires an infection, the rest of the heard is soon infected in a matter of days or weeks.

Another study, this time out of Chicago, USA, show that this process is developing rapidly round the world. Chicago is considered a hotspot for infection in the U.S.A. But there at the Roseland Hospital, they are finding that 30% to 50% of all those tested already have the antibodies against COVID-19 and therefore have naturally acquired immunity. That means, perhaps, that nearly everyone in Chicago will be immune from COVID-19 this week.

Let me demonstrate how this can be:

The first case of COVID-19 in the state of Illinois (of which Chicago is the principal city) was on January 24: a person returned from China. By January 30, there was the first evidence of human to human transmission. The first proven death at Chicago by COVID-19 was on March 17.

The infection which began with 1 person on Jan. 24, had reached 1534 by March 24. These are known cases. Multiply by 20, as we see from the U.K. data and you have probably more like 30,000 in two months or a growth rate of infections which is a daily growth rate of 18.7%.

So if we assume that growth rate is the same in all places, then we can expect 332% more cases each week. So as soon as the known herd immunity is 10%, within a week it will be 33.2% and in the second week 100%.

Applying the same rates to the United Kingdom, but assuming that on March 26, 2020, the immunity was only 5%, then by today, the immunity will be more like 55%. And within 5 days, the entire U.K. will be infected and or immune.

At Heinsberg, Germany, on the border with the Netherlands, was reported on April 9, 2020, that 15% of the population already had antibodies. Therefore, in about 12 days the entire population should acquire immunity.

But as you can see the death numbers are not rising as quickly. And this is because, as I said above, COVID-19 is not a plague, it is just another winter flu.

So the good news for those in countries which are already infected, is that you are now or shortly will be immune to COVID-19.

No need for vaccines. No need for Bill Gates’s Vaccination Program for the world. No need for Rockefeller’s New World Order. No need for everyone to have a vaccine id’s, etc..

And certainly no need for a Corona Control requiring you to stay at home until May. As you will probably be immune within the next 2 weeks, without so much as a sniffle.

POSTSCRIPT: On April 15, 2020, two days after the above was reported by FromRome.Info, La Repubblica, the leading daily Marxist newspaper in Italy, reported that seriological tests in Lombardia and Liguria, here in Italy, showed a 15% herd immunity, which means all in the infected zones of Italy will be immune by the end of the month.

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COVID-19: Air quality is a major factor, if not the principal cause of death

by Br. Alexis Bugnolo

The latest statistics on the mortality resulting  in occasions of COVID-19 infection are proving the hype is hype: that is, there is now no statistical reason to consider the Wuhan Virus any reasonable cause of mortality. This is a bold claim, but I will prove it with proven statistics.

As we all know, inasmuch as a virus is a organic organism — it is not living, because it cannot reproduce of itself, it only multiplies by causing the disintegration of living cells — the mechanisms for infection and mortality should be the same in all members of the same species accross the globe. This is because each species of animal has the same body temperatures and genetic make up.

Yes, in human beings, there are some genetic variations by race which might contribute to having an advantage to surviving an infectious disease: genes for the immune system, for example.  Of these, those ethnic groups outside of sub-saharan Africa have 60-70 more genes and thus are less likely to succumb. Ebola was a perfect example. Few victims have every been of those races.

But for Coronavirus the statistics tell a different picture.  Infection rates from the most reliable sources per nation are telling a different story. Let’s take a look at the worse cases: those nations with the highest claimed rates of infection per million:

978     ITALY
1275   LUXEMBOURG
1665   ICELAND
898     SWITZERLAND
5156   SAN MARINO
2415   FAEROE ISLANDS
1462   ANDORRA
1206   LICHTENSTEIN
1248   VATICAN CITY

What do all those nations have in common? The ones in blue are tiny countries, so it could be argued that the numbers of total citizens are too low to be statistically accurate, or since they are so small, the concentration of persons are extremely high. But that does not explain Switzerland and Iceland or even Luxembourg. Italy’s cases are nearly all in Northern Italy.

What they all have in common, excluding Vatican City, is that they are mountainous regions with frigid air or regions with heavy fog humidity in the Winter and Spring.

But such climates heavily tax the lungs and health of patients. That is why there is normally a higher mortality among the weak in January to March each year.

But to see how much climate might be the principal factor in your chances of contracting the Wuhan Virus, let us look at large nations with large populations:

China has 56 infections per million. Though clearly that statistic is meaningless because only the province of Hubei, of which Wuhan is the capital, is heavily infected. Hubeai province has 58.5 million persons according to a 2015 estimate, and that represents 4.2% of the population. So the real infection rate of Hubei province is probably more like 1300. Wuhan has lots of pollution in the air. Its air quality today was 127 compared to Hong Kong which was 50. A quality of 127 is considered unhealthy, according to Aqicn.org, which reports live air quality statistics for cities round the world.

Spain has 640 infections per million. In the winter, the air in Spain is generally very damp, due to the storms which blow in off the Atlantic Ocean. Most of Spain is also at high altitude.

Germany has 312 infections per million. In the winter the air in Germany is damp, though most of the country is not at high altitude, the Germans have the custom of opening the windows of their homes for a hour or more each day, even in winter. They believe fresh air is good for the health.

Iran has 258 infections per million. But this statistic is not reliable, because nearly all the infections have been in the capital, Tehran, which has only 8.649 million people, whereas Iran has 80.28 million. Both these statistics are for 2016.  That means that the rate of infection for Tehran is more like 2,400 per million.  Tehran has lousy weather in the winter, with humidity levels on average over 50% for the entire winter. But smog is worse, giving Tehran one of the worst ratings for air quality in all the world (source).

While these statistics are not entirely determinative — due to the fact that it may be that the virus spread to these places before others — nevertheless they raise serious questions whether those who are alleged to be dying from the Wuhan Virus are in fact dying from respiratory stress from a variety of causes, especially climate or air quality, of which only the Wuhan Virus is being faulted for political reasons.

For the latest statistics on the Wuhan Virus around the globe, see Worldometers.Info, from which the stats on infection rates have been taken for this article.

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